Title

What has driven the great fertility decline in developing countries since 1960?

Date of this Version

3-2017

Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Details

Citation only

Madsen, J.B., Moslehi, S., & Wang, C. (2017). What has driven the great fertility decline in developing countries since 1960? Journal of Development Studies.

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© 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group

ISSN

0022-0388

Abstract

Several developing countries are currently experiencing a significant fertility decline, however, academic economists have paid little attention to this transition. This paper seeks to explain the fertility transition by infant mortality, urbanisation, income, culture and educational attainment of females and males using annual data for 92 developing countries over the period 1960–2014. External instruments are used to deal with endogeneity. The results suggest that increasing per capita income, improved female education and increasing secularisation have been important determinants for declining fertility in the developing world

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This document has been peer reviewed.